Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Live

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Tesla say "Software" during earnings call?

Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.

Probability

94¢

24h volume

$308.99

Source path

the next earnings announcement of Tesla currently scheduled to take place on July 22, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jul 22, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.