Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?
Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.
Probability
28¢
24h volume
$0.00
Source path
to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Minist
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Dec 31, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.