Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

0¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

the to the percentage of party list votes the Alternative for Germany (AfD, Alternative für Deutschland) wins in the nex

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Feb 23, 2025
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
Create alertOpen marketPolymarket