Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will the announcers say "Armbar" or "Arm Bar" during Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

28¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

the bout of Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista, beginning from the start of the first round and ending once the referee ha

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jul 12, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.