Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

66¢

24h volume

$15.1K

Source path

the events of the official match broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending at the final whistle, includin

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jun 17, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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