Orrery Resolution Risk

Settlement is still pending.

UMA pending

Price can look final before UMA confirmation. Verify the source before treating it as outcome.

Market

Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?

Upstream UMA resolution status is 'proposed'.

Probability

95¢

24h volume

$1.1K

Source path

the events of the official match broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending at the final whistle, includin

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01UMA status: proposed
  • 02Expiry: Jul 2, 2026
  • 03Check whether UMA has proposed, disputed, or finalized the result.
  • 04Confirm the primary source named by the market rules.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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