Orrery Resolution Risk

Price is not settlement.

Pinned near NO

A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.

Market

Will the announcers say "Goat" during McGregor vs Holloway?

YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.

Probability

24h volume

$932.92

Source path

the bout of McGregor vs Holloway, beginning from the start of the first round and ending once the referee has definitive

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jul 12, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
  • 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.