Orrery Resolution Risk

Source quality now matters more than price.

Resolving soon

Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.

Market

Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" 5+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Resolves in 69h.

Probability

28¢

24h volume

$11.28

Source path

the events of the official match broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending at the final whistle, includin

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jul 19, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
  • 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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