Orrery Resolution Risk

Source quality now matters more than price.

Resolving soon

Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.

Market

Will the announcers say "Knockout" or "Knock Out" or "Knocked Out" during UFC 250?

Resolves in 9h.

Probability

97¢

24h volume

$6.07

Source path

the entirety of the UFC Freedom 250 broadcast, from the moment the stream begins to the moment it ends, including all pr

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jun 15, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
  • 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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