Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved YES

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will the Associated Press first call the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary before 10:00 AM ET on Aug 12, 2026?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.

Probability

100¢

24h volume

$161.39

Source path

nato

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Aug 12, 2026
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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