Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?
Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.
Probability
5¢
24h volume
$73.76
Source path
to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of B
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Nov 4, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.