Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?
Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.
Probability
2¢
24h volume
$123.34
Source path
to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the October 2026 interest rate announc
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Oct 28, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.