Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

16¢

24h volume

$19.04

Source path

to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s July meeting, relative to the level it was prior to th

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jul 24, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.