Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 10-20%?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to the margin by which Proposition 50 or any other legislatively referred statewide measure that authorizes or implement

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Nov 4, 2025
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.