Orrery Resolution Risk
Price is not settlement.
A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.
Market
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?
YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.
Probability
2¢
24h volume
$0.00
Source path
to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Represent
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Nov 3, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
- 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.