Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%?
Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.
Probability
9¢
24h volume
$220.98
Source path
to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Represent
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Nov 3, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.