Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.
Probability
24¢
24h volume
$192.95
Source path
Federal Reserve
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jan 27, 2027
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.