Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will the HBO documentary identify Gavin Andresen as Satoshi?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to the individual which the documentary most directly depicts, or presents as most likely to be responsible for creating

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Oct 15, 2024
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.