Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 85 mph?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

96¢

24h volume

$120.07

Source path

the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Aug 31, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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