Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will the median home value in New York City be between $606,000 and $613,000 on June 30?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

38¢

24h volume

$51.12

Source path

to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jun 30, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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