Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will the median home value in New York City be less than $560,000 by February 1?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

0¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on February 1, 2026

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jan 31, 2026
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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