Orrery Resolution Risk

Price is not settlement.

Pinned near NO

A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.

Market

Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $320,000 and $325,000 on September 30?

YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.

Probability

1¢

24h volume

$204.30

Source path

to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Sep 30, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
  • 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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