Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?
Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.
Probability
31¢
24h volume
$3.9K
Source path
to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Sep 30, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.