Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?
Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.
Probability
6¢
24h volume
$0.00
Source path
to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the Nation
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Oct 1, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.