Orrery Resolution Risk
Source quality now matters more than price.
Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.
Market
Will "The Odyssey" 5th Weekend Box Office be at least 21m?
Resolves in 43h.
Probability
67¢
24h volume
$1.1K
Source path
to how much "The Odyssey" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fifth weekend
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Aug 16, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
- 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.