Orrery Resolution Risk
Price is not settlement.
A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.
Market
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be at least 85,000?
YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.
Probability
2¢
24h volume
$33.00
Source path
to the official closing price for the Nikkei 225 (NI225) on the final trading day of December 2026, reported in JPY
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Dec 31, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
- 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.