Orrery Resolution Risk

Source quality now matters more than price.

Resolving soon

Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.

Market

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 21?

Resolves in 37h.

Probability

7¢

24h volume

$3.2K

Source path

Binance spot pair

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Aug 21, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
  • 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
Create alertOpen marketPolymarket