Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

57¢

24h volume

$7.80

Source path

to the change in basis points in the repo rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the South African Reserve Bank's

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jul 23, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.