Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?
Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.
Probability
100¢
24h volume
$0.00
Source path
to the team that wins the 2025 MLB American League (ie advance to the 2025 MLB World Series)
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Oct 31, 2025
- 02UMA status: resolved
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.