Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 1040m and 1060m by August 31?
Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.
Probability
21¢
24h volume
$20.00
Source path
to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Aug 31, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.