Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 21 be between 85 and 90?
Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.
Probability
90¢
24h volume
$486.45
Source path
to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported fo
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jun 5, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.