Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Live

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 23 be between 90 and 95?

Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.

Probability

24h volume

$70.07

Source path

to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported fo

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jun 19, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.