Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Live

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 26 be between 85 and 90?

Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.

Probability

98¢

24h volume

$32.97

Source path

to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported fo

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jul 10, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.