Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved YES

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 1 of the 2026 flu season be at least 30?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.

Probability

100¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

cdc.gov

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jan 12, 2026
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
Create alertOpen marketPolymarket