Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved YES

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will there be 1850+ measles cases in the U.S. on December 31?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.

Probability

100¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to the number of confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2025

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Dec 31, 2025
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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