Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.
Probability
3¢
24h volume
$25.00
Source path
to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Dec 1, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.