Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will there be 7+ hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

28¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 P

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Dec 31, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.