Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will there be 700k or more rides on the DC metro on Jan 20?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

0¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

the total number of Metrorail trips (rail only) recorded on January 20, 2025, as reported by the Washington Metropolitan

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jan 20, 2025
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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