Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will there be between 1550 and 1599 measles cases in the U.S. on December 31?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to the number of confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2025

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Dec 31, 2025
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.