Orrery Resolution Risk

Expired is not resolved.

Expired, unresolved

The expiry has passed, but upstream has not confirmed an official resolution.

Market

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?

Expiry is in the past but upstream has not confirmed a resolution.

Probability

47¢

24h volume

$934.10

Source path

to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Aug 10, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Check the official source named by the contract.
  • 04Wait for upstream resolution before treating price as final.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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