Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.
Probability
37¢
24h volume
$155.35
Source path
to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jun 8, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.