Orrery Resolution Risk
Expired is not resolved.
The expiry has passed, but upstream has not confirmed an official resolution.
Market
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?
Expiry is in the past but upstream has not confirmed a resolution.
Probability
13¢
24h volume
$200.48
Source path
to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jul 26, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Check the official source named by the contract.
- 04Wait for upstream resolution before treating price as final.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.