Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.
Probability
11¢
24h volume
$21.97
Source path
to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jun 21, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.