Orrery Resolution Risk
Expired is not resolved.
The expiry has passed, but upstream has not confirmed an official resolution.
Market
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?
Expiry is in the past but upstream has not confirmed a resolution.
Probability
14¢
24h volume
$4.37
Source path
to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Aug 9, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Check the official source named by the contract.
- 04Wait for upstream resolution before treating price as final.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.