Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Live

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will there be less than 85m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?

Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.

Probability

18¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to the total number of votes cast for U

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Nov 3, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.