Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will there be more than 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?
Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.
Probability
14¢
24h volume
$169.30
Source path
to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jul 19, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.