Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Live

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Tina Browne  be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?

Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.

Probability

24h volume

$10.03

Source path

Official government information

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Aug 12, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.