Orrery Resolution Risk
Source quality now matters more than price.
Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.
Market
Will "Tires: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Resolves in 50h.
Probability
3¢
24h volume
$2.0K
Source path
which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Aug 18, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
- 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.