Orrery Resolution Risk
Price is not settlement.
A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.
Market
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?
YES price is near 100¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.
Probability
98¢
24h volume
$10.5K
Source path
to how much "Toy Story 5" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jul 12, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
- 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.