Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will Trump do better with men than in 2020 election?
Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.
Probability
100¢
24h volume
$0.00
Source path
the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2020 US presidential election, Donald Trump received 53%
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Nov 5, 2024
- 02UMA status: resolved
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.